This survey asks people to estimate what they think the “reality” is on a number of topics about the European Union and the UK’s membership looking at issues raised by both the Remain and the Leave camp – including the economy, immigration, EU budget and EU powers and asks the public to predict what would happen if the UK voted to leave the EU. The purpose behind it was to understand reasons for misperceptions, their impact – in terms of voting intention as well as wider social impact – and to inform the debate before the referendum on 23rd June 2016. It is based on 1,000 interviews conducted online, 29th April-5th May 2016 and 1,083 interviews conducted online, 27th-30th May 2016, weighted to population profile.
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The views expressed in this research paper are those of the authors and not necessarily those of the UK in a Changing Europe initiative.