The public’s Brexit predictions

18 October 2018

The Policy Institute at King’s College London, in partnership with Ipsos MORI and UK in a Changing Europe, has run a major survey of over 2,200 people aged 18-75 in Great Britain on predictions for the outcome and impact of Brexit. Many of the questions were also asked in June 2016, just before the EU Referendum, which allows us to look at how expectations have shifted.

The large sample size for the survey also allows us to look at how party support and Leave/Remain support interacts, by identifying how predictions vary among groups of Conservative-Leave, Conservative-Remain, Labour-Leave and Labour Remain supporters.

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The views expressed in this research paper are those of the authors and not necessarily those of the UK in a Changing Europe initiative.

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