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Brexit: how might UK agriculture survive or thrive?


This project investigated the potential effects of UK agricultural and trade policy scenarios following Brexit. It assessed the impacts of selected UK trade and agricultural policy scenarios following Brexit by integrating state of the art economic modelling approaches at macro, sector and farm levels, against a baseline scenario of continued EU membership. The research focused on the possible economic consequences of Brexit throughout the agricultural sector including supply, demand, prices, exports, imports and economic welfare.

The project also assessed the impacts of the selected Brexit scenarios on farm production decisions, the economic performance across major farm types and the welfare of farm households. It provided the UK Government, its devolved administrations and other practitioners with cohesive and robust analysis to support future agricultural policy development and decision making.

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